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Step 1 self-assessment estimator

NBME 30 Score Calculator and the Widest Score Swing

The NBME 30 score calculator runs the widest-spread conversion of the seven Step 1 forms here: 279 for a clean sheet, and 196 at 72 wrong out of 200.

200 questionsPassing ≈ 196Runs in your browser

Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NBME® or USMLE®. Educational estimates only.

Enter your result

Any way you have it — wrong answers, percent correct, or a score you were already given.

= 85.0% correct • 170 correct

Enter your result and press Calculate to see your estimated three-digit score, pass probability, and what the result means.

Quick take on this form

Form 30 starts highest and charges most per miss, which is why the NBME 30 score calculator swings further than any sibling: 278.6 minus 1.15 per wrong answer. Across a hundred misses the estimate falls 115 points, against 104 on Form 28.

NBME 30 score reference

Estimated three-digit score and pass probability at each wrong-answer count for NBME 30 (CBSSA Form 30).

NBME 30 wrong answers to estimated score reference
WrongCorrect %Est. scorePass prob.
0100.0%27999%
597.5%27399%
1095.0%26799%
1592.5%26199%
2090.0%25699%
2587.5%25099%
3085.0%24499%
3582.5%23899%
4080.0%23399%
4577.5%22799%
5075.0%22199%
5572.5%21597%
6070.0%21093%
6567.5%20481%
7065.0%19859%
7562.5%19233%
8060.0%18717%
8557.5%1816%
9055.0%1752%
9552.5%1691%
10050.0%1641%
10547.5%1581%
11045.0%1521%
11542.5%1461%
12040.0%1411%
12537.5%1351%
13035.0%1291%
13532.5%1231%
14030.0%1181%
14527.5%1121%
15025.0%1061%
15522.5%1001%
16020.0%951%
16517.5%891%
17015.0%831%
17512.5%771%
18010.0%721%
1857.5%661%
1905.0%601%
1952.5%541%
2000.0%491%

Estimates only. Rows step by five wrong answers; your exact result is calculated above.

What the NBME 30 score calculator does with a wrong count

Two hundred items, one straight line: the NBME 30 score calculator takes 1.15 per wrong answer off 278.6 and rounds.

No Step 1 form here starts higher or subtracts more per miss, so the NBME 30 score calculator spreads results the widest.

Ten misses cost 11.5 points in the NBME 30 score calculator, against 10.5 on Form 28 and 10.8 on Form 31.

The probability beside the estimate has its own logistic curve at 196, which the NBME 30 score calculator models rather than measures.

The CBSSA forms ship without a public conversion table, so the NBME 30 score calculator reconstructs one; the modelling notes explain how.

You can do it on paper: 1.15 times your wrong count, taken off 278.6, rounded. That is the whole NBME 30 score calculator.

Worked by hand, the NBME 30 score calculator gives 227 at 45 wrong, 215 at 55 and 204 at 65.

Be careful with the count. Each item is worth more here, so five miscounted questions shift the NBME 30 score calculator six points.

NBME 30 score calculator chart, from clean sheet to the line

None of the rows below were typed in by hand. The NBME 30 score calculator generates all of them.

Ten questions at a time, the NBME 30 score calculator gives: 0 wrong 279 · 20 wrong 256 · 40 wrong 233 · 60 wrong 210 · 80 wrong 187.

Around the line, the NBME 30 score calculator in five-question steps: 55 wrong 215 · 65 wrong 204 · 70 wrong 198 · 72 wrong 196 · 75 wrong 192.

Converted from percentages, the NBME 30 score calculator gives 256 for 90 per cent, 233 for 80 and 210 for 70.

The reference table higher up carries the same NBME 30 score calculator rows in five-question steps, with a probability on each.

Set that chart beside Form 28. At 20 wrong the NBME 30 score calculator reads three points higher; at 100 wrong, six lower.

The two curves cross in the mid-forties. That crossing is the score spread this form is known for, and it is arithmetic rather than difficulty.

What a good Form 30 result means after a drop

The USMLE Step 1 passing standard is 196, which the NBME 30 score calculator reaches at 72 wrong: 128 correct, or 64 per cent.

Above that, the NBME 30 score calculator puts 220 at 51 wrong and 235 at 38, which is 81 per cent correct.

How accurate the NBME 30 score calculator is, and reading a drop

A fitted line and a raw count is all there is. Whether you sat it timed or across two evenings never reaches the NBME 30 score calculator.

No confidence interval appears in our Form 30 source table, so the NBME 30 score calculator prints a point estimate and nothing around it.

Sensitivity is worth stating. A five-question miscount moves the NBME 30 score calculator by nearly six points, more than any sibling form.

No accuracy figure is claimed anywhere on this site, and an NBME 30 score calculator would need a published dataset to justify one.

Form 30 is sat in the final two to three weeks, when the NBME 30 score calculator carries most weight and least remaining time.

Most arrive after a fall. Part of it is conversion: 70 wrong reads 201 on Form 28 and 198 in the NBME 30 score calculator.

The rest is real, and questions are the honest unit: a ten-point fall in the NBME 30 score calculator is nine more wrong answers.

A twenty-five-point fall is twenty-two questions, which the NBME 30 score calculator is right to treat as a different event.

Control conditions first. A form sat tired is not comparable with a timed single sitting, whatever the NBME 30 score calculator prints.

One sitting left? The newest Step 1 form reads lower still, the form that penalises least higher.

So weigh this against your other forms rather than letting one NBME 30 score calculator estimate decide a test date.

Frequently asked questions

Straight answers about what this estimate can and cannot tell you.

How many wrong answers is 196 on the NBME 30 score calculator?

Seventy-two out of 200, which is 128 correct or 64 per cent. At 73 wrong the NBME 30 score calculator drops to 195.

Modelled pass probability there is 50 per cent, so the NBME 30 score calculator describes an undecided outcome rather than a safe one.

Why did my NBME 30 score calculator estimate drop against an earlier form?

Part of it is the conversion. The NBME 30 score calculator subtracts 1.15 per miss from 278.6, about three points below Form 28 near the line.

Size the remainder in questions. A ten-point fall in the NBME 30 score calculator is about nine more wrong answers out of 200.

Is NBME 30 harder than NBME 28 or NBME 31?

Its conversion swings more than either. The NBME 30 score calculator beats Form 28 at low wrong counts and trails it at high ones, while Form 31 reads below both.

None of that describes item difficulty, which the conversion data behind the NBME 30 score calculator cannot speak to at all.

What does 70 per cent correct give in the NBME 30 score calculator?

About 210. Seventy per cent is 60 wrong, and the NBME 30 score calculator returns 210 with 93 per cent pass probability.

The curve is steep enough that 75 per cent reads 221 in the NBME 30 score calculator, and 65 per cent reads 198.

When should I sit NBME 30 before Step 1?

In the final two to three weeks. Take it timed and in one sitting, so the NBME 30 score calculator stays comparable with earlier forms.

On a curve this steep, a difference in conditions easily outweighs the difference the NBME 30 score calculator is showing you.

Does the NBME 30 score calculator need anything but a wrong count?

Yes, and the count is the only input. Times 1.15, taken off 278.6 and rounded, gives the NBME 30 score calculator result.

Nothing else is needed, though a miscount of five items shifts the NBME 30 score calculator by nearly six points on this form.

Does a raw count from another form work in this conversion?

No. Run 80 wrong across the set: 184 on Form 31, 190 on Form 28, and 187 in the NBME 30 score calculator.

That band is the price of quoting a raw count without naming its form, so use the NBME 30 score calculator first and compare scores.

Is there an official NBME 30 score calculator anywhere?

No, and none exists. CBSSA percent-to-score tables have never been published, which rules out an official NBME 30 score calculator anywhere.

What the NBME 30 score calculator offers instead is a stated model, both coefficients in the open, and linked assumptions. Not affiliated with the NBME® or USMLE®.

Cross-check this estimate against another form, or read how the models are built.

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Send it to a study partner sitting the same form, or print a copy once you have run your numbers.

Form 30 holds 196 out to 72 wrong, and the NBME 30 score calculator will read your next attempt free.

Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NBME® or USMLE®. Educational estimates only.